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Ebola in DR Congo, sluggish aid reforms, and El Niño warnings for Africa: The Cheat Sheet

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Ebola response ramps up in DRC as WHO declares international emergency

A large-scale response has begun to an Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo that went undetected for two months, and is already one of the biggest on record. The epidemic involves the extremely rare Bundibugyo variant, for which there have been only two past outbreaks and are no approved vaccines or treatments. World Health Organization chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus fast-tracked a 17 May declaration of a public health emergency of international concern, and treatment centres are now being set up, isolation tents installed in hospitals, and medical supplies shipped to the outbreak zone. DRC has contained 16 previous Ebola outbreaks and has world-leading expertise, but the epidemic is unfolding in conflict-affected areas, which – amidst global aid cuts and a fraught political situation – could complicate the response. The first Ebola flare-up to unfold in an active conflict zone, in North Kivu between 2018 and 2020, became the second-worst outbreak in history. For more on the new outbreak and lessons from the past, read: As Ebola resurfaces in DR Congo, so do critical questions about how to respond.

Despite reforms, world not safer from pandemics

With 160 deaths already suspected in the latest Ebola outbreak, a new report from the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board – a body set up eight years ago in the wake of the West Africa Ebola epidemic – paints a bleak picture of the world’s readiness to face pandemics. The report concludes that the past decade of public health emergencies shows that “the world is not substantially safer from their impact, with rising economic and social costs, weakening access to medical countermeasures, declining financing, and societies emerging poorer, more unequal and more divided”.The GPMB argues that outbreaks are becoming more frequent and more disruptive, driven by climate change, urbanisation, and weakening international cooperation. Reforms, including those introduced after COVID-19, are not keeping pace with the rising risk, and the GPMB points to a “profound erosion of trust and unresolved inequities” in access to healthcare and vaccines as key vulnerabilities. During the recent mpox outbreaks, for example, vaccines took 24–27 months to reach people in affected low-income countries, even more time than the 17 months it took during COVID-19.

A decade after World Humanitarian Summit, aid reform looks for a new script

This weekend marks 10 years since the optimism of the World Humanitarian Summit birthed a slew of reform promises meant to transform emergency response and revitalise aid. We’ve come a long way… or perhaps not. Some recent developments: The latest aid summit, the United Kingdom’s just-concluded Global Partnerships Conference, was held by a government that ordered deep donor aid cuts. The world’s biggest slasher by volume, the United States, cut its aid by at least $34 billion last year, but was praised by the UN for offering $1.8 billion in humanitarian cash to 21 strategically chosen locations. Humanitarians, meanwhile, are tackling the poly-crises of 2026 armed with the budgets of 2019 and the reform ideas of 2016. So, beyond Grand Bargains or resets, where does the next reform movement live? The people behind a global Lancet Commission spent two years thinking about it, and offered up their ideas on 20 May. Some core themes behind 76 pages of small-type analysis: Upend the economics that drive today’s status quo, and build oversight and enforcement into tomorrow’s system.

El Niño threatens renewed climate disruption for Africa

The warning signs are flashing for a strong El Niño this year – which spells bad news for parts of Africa. In southern Africa the climate phenomenon typically means drought and high temperatures in a region dependent on rain for subsistence agriculture. The most recent El Niño, in 2023-2024, shriveled the harvests of millions of farmers and forced six African countries to declare states of emergency. This year’s climate event – due to strengthen through the remainder of 2026 – is accompanied by a Strait of Hormuz-related surge in fuel and food costs already doing damage to household budgets. In East Africa, an El Niño is usually associated with heavy flooding in parts of Kenya, Somalia, and Tanzania – washing away crops, livestock, and infrastructure. The complexity of the weather system means there’s also a likelihood of drought in neighbouring Ethiopia, southern Sudan, and northern Uganda, and struggling governments hoping for humanitarian support will have to reckon with significantly slimmer international aid budgets.

European push for stronger deportation powers temporarily delayed

Negotiators for European Union member states and members of the European Parliament temporarily ended three rounds of talks on 21 May, failing to reach agreement over a controversial law aimed at increasing the power to deport rejected asylum seekers. The bill paves the way for what critics call “ICE-style” raids on private residences and “other relevant premises”, longer detention periods, and the establishment of so-called “return hubs” in third countries. Despite coming under heavy criticism by rights groups, the European push for greater deportation powers appears to be a question of when, not if: The negotiations stalled over when the provisional law would come into force, rather than questions of substance. Negotiations are set to resume on 1 June. Meanwhile, on 15 May, all 46 member states of the Council of Europe – which includes all EU member states – signed on to a political declaration that critics fear will weaken legal protections for migrants, and make it easier for states to carry out deportations.

A surging health crisis in Gaza amidst diplomatic standstill 

Residents of the Gaza Strip are continuing to face a major, unaddressed public health crisis as temperatures soar and infestations of rodents and insects surge unabated. Sanitation systems have long-since been destroyed, and Israel is still blocking medical supplies and other essential items from entering the enclave. More than seven months since the ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, reconstruction and recovery plans are completely stalled, the so-called Board of Peace set up to implement the US-brokered truce is is starved of cash, and the Palestinian technocratic committee that is supposed to be administering Gaza is stuck in Egypt. Israeli military attacks on Gaza are on the rise, leaving residents fearful of a broader assault as Israel expands the territory it controls in the enclave to around 64%. On 18 May, Israeli forces intercepted the remaining 50 boats of the Global Sumud Flotilla, which were aiming to raise awareness about the dire situation in Gaza and break Israel’s nearly two-decade blockade of the territory. The interception follows Israel’s capture of 22 boats at the end of last month. For more, read this from Palestinian journalist Nour ElAssy: Pushing back against erasure: The Gaza flotilla is more important now than ever.

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In case you missed it

IRAN/UNITED STATES: Indirect talks between the US and Iran are reportedly still underway as of 22 May, with Pakistan continuing to serve as a mediator between the Trump administration and the Islamic Republic. While US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said there had been “slight progress” in the talks, he warned against a toll system Tehran has reportedly proposed for the Strait of Hormuz, which has been a major sticking point in negotiations.

CUBA: The US has filed criminal charges against former Cuban president Raúl Castro over the 1996 downing of two small planes piloted by Cuban exiles off the coast of Florida. The 20 May announcement of the criminal indictment against Castro and five others is the latest in a US campaign of pressure against the Cuban government; the January imposition of an oil blockade has pushed the island into an unprecedented humanitarian crisis. Read this for more on what Cubans make of the situation.

HAITI: Nearly 30,000 people have been forced to flee their homes in Port-au-Prince over just 10 days, as violent clashes between gangs escalated. The UN reports that at least 390 people were killed in the fighting between 6 March and 16 May, and earlier this month Prime Minister Alix Fils-Aimé said that Haiti is not stable enough to hold the long-delayed presidential elections planned for August.

ISRAEL/PALESTINE: Rights groups are pushing Microsoft to publish the findings of internal reviews into the Israeli military’s use of the tech giant’s cloud and AI services in its killing of Palestinians in Gaza. Earlier this month, Microsoft said the head of its Israel branch would be stepping down, reportedly following an inquiry into the company’s relationship with the Israeli military.

VENEZUELA: Demonstrators demanding the release of political prisoners and denouncing government repression clashed with police in Caracas on 18 May. The protests were triggered by the death of a grieving mother just days after she was informed that her son, who had been imprisoned for a year and half, had died in state custody last July.

NIGERIA: A 15 May US-Nigerian assault on a base of the so-called Islamic State has been touted as a significant victory by both Washington and Abuja, but the details remain unclear. While President Donald Trump said the target was Abu Bilal al-Minuki – a man the Nigerian military said they may have killed in 2024 – other sources say the attack killed Abubakar Mainok, popularly known as Bor Mainok, one of the highest-ranking leaders within the Nigeria-based Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP). The US followed the raid with airstrikes against ISWAP.

MENTAL HEALTH: More than a billion people – about one in eight globally – live with a mental health condition, with anxiety and depression most common, according to data due to be discussed at the 79th World Health Assembly, running from 18 to 23 May. Young people are among the hardest hit. Women have higher anxiety and depression rates, while men die by suicide more often. Mental health remains chronically underfunded, receiving a median 2% of health budgets. About 740,000 people die by suicide annually, or one every 43 seconds, and treatment access remains especially limited in poorer countries.

GREECE: In what is being hailed as a significant victory for human rights, a Norwegian court on 19 May blocked a Greek request to extradite Tommy Olsen – an activist who monitors migration and rights abuses in the Aegean Sea – to stand trial in Greece. Olsen runs an organisation called Aegean Boat Report, which has played an important role in documenting illegal pushbacks carried out by the Greek Coast Guard at sea.

LEBANON: Representatives of Lebanon and Israel have agreed in US-back talks to extend an Israel-Lebanon ceasefire by 45 days. While the truce has been in place since mid-April, clashes and Israeli bombings have continued, with Israeli air strikes killing a reported 21 people in south Lebanon on 21 May alone.

UNITED STATES: The Trump administration is reportedly going ahead with a plan to allow an additional 10,000 white South Africans to enter the US as refugees, claiming Afrikaners face an “emergency refugee situation”. Critics say the US admission of white South Africans while gutting all other refugee resettlement is part of a white supremacist agenda.


Weekend read

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And finally…

Norwegian journalist questions India’s Modi, sparks debate

Meta appears to have reinstated a Norwegian journalist’s Instagram and Facebook accounts, shortly after she was suspended following controversy and online debate over her questions to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi. On 18 May, journalist Helle Lyng asked the three-time Indian prime minister, in Oslo for an official visit, “Why don’t you take some questions from the freest press in the world?" Modi did not reply, and clips of the exchange went viral. Some Indian news outlets said she had been disrespectful towards a head of state, while Lyng faced a wave of online harassment. Modi’s primary political opponent, Rahul Gandhi, seized on the video as an example of the world seeing “a compromised PM panic and run from a few questions.” 

Modi has not held a solo press conference since taking office in 2014, and his government has been accused of stifling dissent, disenfranchising minority communities and of large-scale land grabs, about his views on access to information given the fact that India ranks 157th in an annual list of press freedom. Norway tops the annual list of 180 countries. Some were also rankled by Lyng’s later questions about human rights in India, with a senior Indian diplomat defending India’s record of democracy (it is the largest in the world) and constitutional guarantees of freedom of thought, expression, belief and worship.

Lyng, who reportedly gained tens of thousands of followers on X following the exchange, stood by her comments about press freedom, but also stated: “I want to make it very clear. I have a lot to learn about India. In general, I think Western media do.”

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