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Ethiopia’s resurgent conflict, Rohingya repatriations, and Gaza’s devastation on Google Maps: The Cheat Sheet

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Drone strikes bring conflict home to Addis Ababa

If Ethiopia’s federal government thought Addis Ababa was insulated from the conflict in its restive Tigray and Amhara regions, drone strikes have forced a reappraisal. Blasts were heard overnight on 1 October near the military’s headquarters in the west of the city, and another military camp in the south. The seven-member opposition Alliance for Survival claimed responsibility. Meanwhile, as fighting worsens, the federal army and a pro-government militia appear to be advancing towards northern Tigray’s main city of Mekelle. At least 52 civilians were killed in three days of heavy clashes around Alamata, 180 kilometres south of Mekelle. Fighters of the region’s ruling party, the TPLF, are also reported to have attacked east into the Afar region – landlocked Ethiopia’s strategic corridor to neighbouring Djibouti’s ports. As concerns mount over the humanitarian impact of the expanding combat, the UN and African Union have backed a mediation effort by former Nigerian president Olusegun Obasanjo. The risk remains, however, of a wider conflagration, with Ethiopia accusing Egypt, Eritrea, and Sudan of backing its opponents. Ethiopia and Eritrea cut diplomatic relations on 2 October.

Malaysia begins Rohingya repatriations even as Myanmar violence escalates

Conflict and displacement in Myanmar’s Rakhine state are escalating on multiple fronts. Myanmar’s military hit a local market on 28 September, killing at least 50 people and wounding 58. UN investigators are looking into the attack – which occurred as Myanmar’s ruling junta stepped up its campaign against the Arakan Army (AA), an ethnic militia that controls much of northern Rakhine state – as a potential war crime. Nearly a decade after the Myanmar military began ethnically cleansing Rohingya Muslims from the area, the AA is accused of deploying similar tactics, seizing Rohingya villages and farmland to build detention camps and military infrastructure, according to recent UN research and satellite imagery. A quarter of all Rohingya who stayed in Myanmar after the 2017 mass displacement campaign have left the country since 2024. Most have crossed into Bangladesh, but some have taken dangerous boat journeys to Malaysia. Despite the escalating violence in Myanmar, the Malaysian government began on 29 September repatriating the first 1,500 of a planned 5,000 Rohingya who purportedly volunteered to return while in detention.

Yemen’s west coast fighting displaces more than 145,000

Fighting along Yemen’s west coast has now displaced more than 145,000 people since June, with entire displacement camps emptying out as people head to new villages and sites without extra clothing, shelter, food or water. “The ability of humanitarian organisations to respond falls short of the vast ocean of needs that we see,” said Alison Bottomley, the Norwegian Refugee Council’s advocacy adviser in Yemen in a statement, citing scarce funding in an already neglected crisis. More than half of the newly displaced people are in Taiz province, followed by Lahj and Aden where Médecins Sans Frontières said newly displaced arrivals are struggling to access healthcare, with medicines and transport out of reach for many. Hans Grundberg, the UN’s envoy for Yemen, said on 29 September that he had recently met with the Houthis’ chief negotiator, as well as with officials from Yemen’s internationally recognised government and Saudi Arabia. He admitted that “the current situation is going to be challenging to resolve”. Given the multiple powers and interests inside and outside Yemen that have become involved and entangled, that’s likely a serious understatement.

US Supreme Court allows third-country deportations despite UN expert condemnation

After a brief pause, the US Supreme Court on 29 September allowed the Trump administration to continue carrying out rapid third-country deportations. The US government has spent more than $49 million to deport over 25,000 people to countries they have no connection to and where many have never set foot since US President Donald Trump returned to office. The deportations have triggered “a cascade of human rights violations”, according to 24 experts advising the UN Human Rights Council. The experts said they had contacted 35 governments who have signed third-country deportation deals with the US – as well as the Trump administration – to raise their concerns and call for an immediate end to the practice. Burundi, however, has become the latest country to announce that it has signed a deportation deal with the US. People who have been deported have later been forcibly returned to countries they fled and are at risk of other abuses, from torture to enforced disappearance. The experts also warned against UN entities, specifically the UN’s migration agency IOM, legitimising third-country deportations. IOM has recently faced scrutiny for its role in the practice.

The scale of Gaza’s destruction in the palm of your hand

Thanks to a recent update to its satellite imagery, anyone who wants to can now go to Google Maps, type in Gaza, and witness the vast extent of devastation wrought over the past three years by Israel’s genocidal military campaign and ongoing attacks and demolitions throughout the territory. Zoom in on the southern city of Rafah. It doesn’t exist anymore. Streets and landmarks, like coffee shops, parks, schools, and mosques, are just piles of rubble. Along the coast, in the roughly 30% of Gaza into which Israel has forced the enclave’s 2.1 million residents, sprawling tent encampments hug the sea. In the north, around the ruins of Beit Hanoun, newly constructed bases for the Israeli military and Israeli-backed Palestinian militias are clearly visible. The New Humanitarian has documented Israel’s widespread demolition of communities and agricultural land in eastern Gaza since the ceasefire agreement signed by Israel and Hamas last year, and UN damage assessments have captured the scale of overall destruction. But its plain visibility on an app millions of people use for mundane purposes every day is still shocking.

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In case you missed it

COLOMBIA: President Abelardo de la Espriella’s hardline security policy – marked by heavy-handed military operations – is facing a test. After security forces killed one of the leaders of the ACSN organised crime group (known as Los Pachenca), it imposed an "armed strike" on the Caribbean tourist hotspot of Santa Marta, using threats and violence to shut businesses and confine residents at home. De la Espriella responded by deploying over 1,100 soldiers and police in the area. For more context, read this miniseries. 

DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: More than 4,000 people have now died from DRC’s worst-ever Ebola epidemic and the second deadliest on record. Cases have declined in the main outbreak zone, Ituri, but responders say that could be due to communities not wanting to come forward for treatment. Cases are still rising in other provinces, and key response organisation Médecins Sans Frontières has had a staff member contract the virus.

GERMANY/AFGHANISTAN: Over half the Afghans on deportation lists in Germany have no criminal record, according to newly released information. At the start of July, Germany lifted the criterion that only Afghan men convicted of crimes could be deported. There has been increased diplomatic contact between Germany and the Taliban government in Afghanistan to facilitate deportations. Due to overlapping humanitarian and economic crises and the threat of persecution, rights groups say no one should be forcibly returned to Afghanistan.

HAITI: The UN Security Council has voted to extend the mandate of the Gang Suppression Force (GSF) until 31 March 2027. The US-backed force – approved last year to replace the Multinational Security Support (MSS) mission after it failed to restore security – remains underfunded and has made little progress. With a stronger mandate than the MSS, the GSF is slated to number 5,500 security officers, but fewer than 1,600 have been deployed so far.

IRAN/US: The US is preparing for a possible major naval buildup in the Middle East, including up to three aircraft carriers and their escort ships, as President Trump weighs whether to intensify the war with Iran. The buildup may involve up to 20,000 troops, 150 fighter jets, and numerous destroyers, The Washington Post reported on 1 September. US and Iranian officials held indirect talks through mediators on 28-30 September, focused partly on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and easing US sanctions and blockades. Trump has rejected Iran’s latest peace proposal as insufficient and raised the possibility of renewed strikes.

IRAQ/US/UK: The last remaining US and UK troops in Iraq departed the country on 30 October, completing an agreement signed with the US government two years ago. The forces arrived in Iraq in 2014 as part of a coalition to fight the so-called Islamic State, and had been drawing down since Iraq officially declared victory over IS in 2017.

PAKISTAN/AFGHANISTAN: Conflicting reports have emerged following airstrikes by Pakistan against targets in Afghanistan between 30 September and 1 October. Pakistan said it targeted the Pakistani Taliban (TTP) and Balochistan Liberation Army and killed 22 fighters. Afghanistan said the strikes hit civilian homes. The UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA) reported at least 10 civilians killed, most of them children, and nine wounded. UNAMA has documented over 1,100 civilian deaths and injuries in Afghanistan from "cross-border armed violence" in 2026.

PALESTINE/ISRAEL: Israeli settlers shot and killed a 51-year-old Palestinian man on 1 October in Yasuf, a town in the illegally occupied West Bank, according to reports. The settlers attacked Palestinian homes under the protection of the Israeli military, the head of the town’s municipal council said. In a separate incident, over 100 settlers attacked a Palestinian family trying to return to its home in the village of Julud on 29 September. Following a court order, the family was being escorted to their home by Israeli police, who failed to repel the attack.

THAILAND: Severe flooding across Thailand has killed at least 23 people, displaced thousands to evacuation centres, and disrupted factories and international travel. Bangkok was declared a disaster zone on 26 September after days of torrential rain. More than a million households remained affected by 1 October, with further rain expected. The damage is projected to cost $367 million.

UK/FRANCE: After just over a year, the UK and France’s “one in, one out” migration deal is being scrapped. The agreement called for the rapid deportation of people who crossed the English Channel by boat back to France in exchange for an equivalent number of people allowed to enter the UK through legal pathways. But only around 1,500 people were returned to France under the deal, while people have continued to arrive in the UK by boat. On 28 September, a 10-year-old child and two women died during a chaotic crossing attempt.

UNITED STATES: The State Department is considering phasing out support to the Famine Early Warning Systems Network, or FEWS NET, a crucial platform for humanitarians for 40 years, Devex has reported. The service has enough in the bank to operate to the end of 2026, but without a clear funding commitment it will need to start terminating staff now. A “save FEWS NET” campaign has been launched.


Weekend read

A displaced resident inside a car looks out at destruction caused by Israeli strikes as she drives home following a 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel that went into effect, in Nabatieh, Lebanon, 18 April 2026.

Six months after supposed ceasefire, Lebanon’s displaced face an uncertain future

As Israel holds territory and continues its bombardment, families face destroyed homes, lost livelihoods, and little clarity over what comes next.


And finally…

Traoré’s golden bet on resource sovereignty

Burkina Faso has announced the opening of the country’s first gold refinery in a bid to capture more value from minerals and exert greater control over the supply chain. Like many formerly colonised countries, the West African nation was integrated into the global economy primarily as an exporter of raw materials and cheap labour, a position that has constrained its development ever since. Things have shifted somewhat since army captain Ibrahim Traoré came to power in a 2022 coup. He has won a strong following at home and abroad for his outspoken criticism of imperialism, and for pushing the country to have better control over national resources. As well as the refinery, he has nationalised some industrial gold mines, invested in domestic cotton processing, and supported food processing industries. Critics, however, argue that these social projects remain limited and that his anti-imperialist rhetoric helps shore up a regime that is perennially threatened by disgruntled soldiers and jihadist insurgents. Under Traoré, authorities have also been accused of carrying out brutal counterinsurgency campaigns, including a string of massacres of civilians living in areas controlled by the al-Qaeda-linked JNIM group. See our latest in-depth reporting for more on that.

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