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New report on future scenarios in Sudan

Senior Sudanese officials talk and shake hands after watching a landmark ruling on the boundaries of Abyei on TV a hut in the UNMIS compound in Abyei town. From left to right: Deng Alor (far left) , Sudan's foreign minister and SPLM member, Malik Aggar,( Peter Martell/IRIN
    NAIROBI

    Sudan is planning to hold elections in April 2010 and a referendum on southern independence the following year, but beyond this the future is uncertain, says a report entitled "Sudan 2012 - Scenarios for the Future".



    The report is based on a study by Jaïr van der Lijn of the Netherland Institute of International Relations and commissioned by IKV Pax Christi and Cordaid.



    Two key uncertainties will define possible scenarios in 2012 - will Sudan be united or will the North and South have gone separate ways? Or will there be a new war between the North and the South, or will there be no war?



    "At present, the international community, governments, international organizations and civil society groups are primarily focused on stimulating implementation of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement and making sure an election and referendum take place...little time is given to thinking strategically about the period after 2011. What will happen in 2012 is barely touched on," the report says.



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    This article was produced by IRIN News while it was part of the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. Please send queries on copyright or liability to the UN. For more information: https://shop.un.org/rights-permissions

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