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Israel’s Gaza expulsion plans, Nepal’s loss and damage test, and Syria’s $7 billion deal: The Cheat Sheet

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Our editors’ weekly take on humanitarian news, trends, and developments from around the globe.

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Israeli ministers push plan to expel Palestinians from Gaza

Two Israeli government ministers have said that Israel is seeking to forcibly expel Palestinians from the Gaza Strip en masse – which would be a war crime under international law. On 2 September, Defence Minister Israel Katz said Israel was seeking Donald Trump’s permission to expel Palestinians from Gaza, adding there was “no real solution for Gaza without migration” and that the Israeli government was “organised and ready to get them out”. On 3 September, National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir followed up by saying that Israel has a plan to forcibly expel all 2.1 million Palestinians from Gaza over the next six years, starting with 250,000 people in the first year. Ben-Gvir said there were countries willing to take in expelled Palestinians, but did not specify which ones. The comments come in the lead-up to tightly contested Israeli elections next month. However, the mass expulsion of Palestinians from Gaza is something Israeli leaders and government agencies have consistently mooted since 7 October 2023. According to reporting, Israel’s Intelligence Ministry proposed plans for the removal of Palestinians from Gaza as early as 13 October 2023. The vast majority of Palestinians are barred from entering the nearly 70% of Gaza currently under direct Israeli military occupation. Around 2.1 million Palestinians are crammed into the remaining territory, over which Israel also exerts significant control, including continuing to restrict aid access and the blocking of any reconstruction efforts.  

Nepal flood puts loss and damage funding to the test

Nepal’s catastrophic Himalayan flood is rapidly becoming a test case for climate justice. On 26 August, a collapse of glacier, rock, and ice near the Nepal-China border sent a wall of material down the Bhoteloshi-Trishuli river system, killing more than 1,250 people in Nepal and leaving more than 4,200 people missing. Kathmandu formally asked the UN’s Loss and Damage Fund for an unspecified amount of emergency financing, arguing that the destruction exceeded its response capacity. On 3 September, Foreign Minister Shisir Khanal said the government had sought an immediate $20 million from the fund, adding that this assistance alone was “definitely not adequate”. The appeal is unusually urgent: The fund has yet to make its first country payout, and its next board meeting is not until December. Khanal has also called on the US, China, and India – the world’s top greenhouse gas emitters – to contribute “climate compensation”. Officials have estimated Nepal’s direct losses at $2.56 billion, with recovery costs at $4-$7 billion. For more on how early warning systems were overwhelmed and on what can be done to prevent similar disasters in the future, read our in-depth analysis.

Somalia’s political fight is spilling onto the battlefield

Somalia’s insecurity is worsening. Federal forces this week beat off an attack on Baidoa, the largest city in South West State, by militia loyal to ousted governor Abdiaziz Hassan Mohamed Laftagareen. The government accused Laftagareen’s fighters of collaborating with al-Shabab insurgents in the assault. Türkiye has thrown its weight behind the President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s government. A Turkish drone was reportedly used in a strike on a pro-Laftagareen general, while Ankara’s F-16 fighter jets have also been in the air, reflecting a relationship that has evolved from “Islamic humanitarianism” to hardnosed strategic interest. Several federal states and regions oppose Mohamud, accusing him of centralising power, pushing electoral reforms to extend his rule, and ousting uncooperative regional leaders. Laftagareen suffered that fate in March, triggering repeated attacks on Baidoa by his militia. Meanwhile, the drawdown – and looming funding crisis – of the African Union's peacekeeping force is intensifying the power struggle between Mogadishu and the states. No unified security architecture exists, creating fertile ground for further fragmentation.

Algeria’s rare intervention betrays fears of a fracturing Sahel

A surprising outcome of the failed coup against Niger’s military junta on 29 August was the arrival, a day later, of an Algerian air detachment, including four SU-30 fighter jets. The powerful deployment was a clear signal that Algeria was breaking from its non-interventionist traditions and wanted its troubled southern neighbours in the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) – Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger – to take note. Algeria was not involved in the quashing of the putsch against General Abdourahamane Tchiani by disgruntled soldiers angered by command failings in the war against jihadist insurgents. That win was down to the presidential guard, backed by Russia’s Africa Corps. But Algeria does fear state collapse, triggered by Islamist insurgencies that have their roots in its own violence of the 1990s. Algeria’s new-found interest happens to coincide with the start of construction of a Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline that will stretch from Nigeria to the Mediterranean coast. While Algeria offers a strategic alternative to Russia’s military intervention in the AES, military backing alone will not resolve the political grievances that fuel armed opposition and leave Sahelian juntas vulnerable to coups.

Tech and rights collide as new Human Rights Council session begins

A new session of the Human Rights Council opens 7 September in Geneva, with a wide swathe of escalating crises in the foreground and the UN’s budget crunch overhead. New updates or sessions on genocide prevention, an updated database on businesses in Israeli settlements in Palestine, and examinations of rights in Sudan and Afghanistan, are among the many pressing issues on the schedule. Tech is colliding with human rights and that’s reflected on the agenda: There are sessions on technology-facilitated gender-based violence, protecting human rights defenders in the digital era, how mercenaries use tech, and how artificial intelligence affects cultural and development rights. As on any multilateral stage these days, money troubles are never far away. Rights experts mandated by the council will be reporting less often to the General Assembly, weakening oversight and political attention, the International Service for Human Rights warned. Meanwhile, the advocacy NGO is urging more scrutiny of a country where rights and the rule of law are eroding: the United States.

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In case you missed it

CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN: A patrol boat from the EU-supported Libyan Coast Guard fired two shots towards the civilian search-and-rescue vessel the Louise Michel on 26 August, according to social media posts by the Louise Michel. The incident occurred after the Libyan Coast Guard intercepted a boat of asylum seekers and migrants attempting to reach Europe. The shooting is the latest in a well-documented pattern of violence by the Libyan Coast Guard against migrant boats and humanitarian rescue vessels. For more, read: EU expands Libya cooperation despite repeated warnings over violence at sea.

CUBA: According to Cuban official data, international tourism – one of the island's main sources of income – fell by 62% between January and July compared with the same period in 2025. This dramatic decline comes amid growing US pressure on the Cuban government, including a strict oil blockade and a series of sanctions targeting the industry. Since January, many hotels have been forced to close, while big international chains suspended their operations on the island. For more on the unprecedented humanitarian crisis in Cuba, read this report.

DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO: More than 3,000 people have died from Ebola out of 6,250 confirmed cases, as the virus outstrips efforts to track and slow it. There has been a recent surge in cases, with two new health zones affected last week in North Kivu, in the country’s east. Infections are occurring from outside known transmission chains, with only between 15% and 20% of cases from known contacts. “Until every [transmission] chain is found and broken, the epidemic will continue,” the World Health Organization has warned.

EL NIÑO: A firmly entrenched El Niño will hike the risks of floods, drought, and extreme heat in different parts of the globe well into 2027, the UN’s World Meteorological Organization said, warning that preparation and response are urgently needed for a “supersized” El Niño.

GERMANY: Authorities deported 22 Afghan men to Afghanistan on 1 September. According to reports, the men had been convicted of unspecified crimes. Germany has deported more than 200 men to Afghanistan in the past year. Human rights groups have warned that deportations of people with criminal records are a slippery slope. Already, Germany has lifted the criteria that only men convicted of crimes can be deported, and at least one man with no criminal record was deported to Afghanistan at the end of July. 

GLOBAL GAG: Norwegian People’s Aid will turn down millions in US government funding due to restrictions covering equality, diversity, and reproductive health, the mine action group said. This could affect 40% of NPA’s current budget. The Trump administration has expanded so-called global gag rules, which handcuff organisations receiving US cash even if “banned” programmes are paid for by separate budgets. “NPA  considers these requirements incompatible with the organisation's values,” it said in a statement.

IRAN/UNITED STATES: Iran and the US have exchanged strikes again, with Iranian state media and a rights group reporting that a US missile hit a wedding celebration, killing 4 people and injuring more than 60. The rial hit a new record low on 2 September, with hyperinflation one of the key concerns for young Iranians in the capital. For more on their lost futures, read our latest feature from Tehran.

MALAYSIA: Amnesty International has urged Malaysia to halt plans to deport 5,000 Myanmar refugees, most of them Rohingya, starting with 1,476 on 29 September. The rights group warned that conflict, persecution, and abuses in Myanmar make returns unsafe and could violate the principle of non-refoulement. The UN’s refugee agency, UNHCR, said it had no role in arranging the returns, had not verified whether they were voluntary, and stressed that Myanmar remains unsafe for refugee repatriation.

REFUGEES: Documents seen by Reuters show that UNHCR is planning further steep cuts to its budget and staffing in 2027. UNHCR’s projected budget is being slashed by 16% compared to last year, and the agency is cutting back a further 3,500 positions. UNHCR already cut more than 5,000 positions, moved its headquarters, and scaled back 185 field offices since the US drastically scaled back foreign assistance after the Trump administration entered office in 2025. 

SYRIA: UAE developer Arada has signed a deal with the Syrian government’s new Syrian Sovereign Fund to build a $7 billion development in Damascus. State media says the “New Damascus” project will cover 4 million square metres and include residential and commercial facilities, as well as a plan to provide housing for some people who are displaced or whose homes were destroyed during Syria’s war.

VENEZUELA/US: The US continues to secure greater control over Venezuela's oil reserves. On 31 August, President Trump announced a new deal granting a US-led company, North American Blue Energy Partners, 100-year concessions over 65 billion barrels of proven reserves, with the Pentagon taking a profit stake. Interim President Delcy Rodríguez said the agreement would bring Venezuela “endless” benefits,  but critics consider it abusive and question its legality, even as Venezuelans fear they will see little benefit.

ZAMBIA: Opposition leader Brian Mundubile has been charged with treason, deepening concerns over the government's democratic backsliding. Mundubile, who finished second to President Hakainde Hichilema in the 13 August election, was taken into custody last week after more than two weeks in hiding. Police allege they found rifles and other military equipment at his home.


Weekend read

Nour ElAssy giving a speech at Paris-Panthéon-Assas University.

The book of poetry I wrote for the home I lost in Gaza

This is my dream, and it has been handed to me in exchange for everything I had. Nobody consulted me on the rate, writes journalist and poet Nour ElAssy.


And finally…

The pressure to tell a story of suffering

In this relatively short New York Times essay, author David Treuer deftly weaves in so many themes that are likely of interest to Cheat Sheet readers. He writes of being Indian (his word of choice for Native American) and moving from the Leech Lake Ojibwe Reservation to the hallowed halls of Princeton University, and initially feeling driven to tell false tales of suffering because that’s what people expected of someone like him, not understanding that someone like him could be relatively happy, or complicated, or even mediocre. And the realisation that he had also been consuming lies about Princeton vs. his home, which were really about civilised vs. savage. Treuer’s piece offers plenty of food for thought about the expectations and narratives we place on marginalised groups – and, ultimately, on ourselves.  

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