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Shaky Iran-US ceasefire, Ebola cases surge, and the aid sector in crisis mode: The Cheat Sheet

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Our editors’ weekly take on humanitarian news, trends, and developments from around the globe.

On our radar

Iran, US sign precarious deal to end war

The United States and Iran have signed a memorandum of understanding that aims to end the war the US and Israel launched on Iran on 28 February. The 14-point agreement, signed by Donald Trump at a gathering hosted by French President Emmanuel Macron in the Palace of Versailles – where the treaty to end World War I was signed in 1919 – opens up the Strait of Hormuz for a 60-day ceasefire window during which the two sides have vowed to negotiate a long-term resolution to the Iranian nuclear standoff. The US will also terminate all sanctions against Iran, provide $300 billion for post-war reconstruction, and unlock all frozen Iranian funds and assets. The four months of war killed at least 7,300 people in Iran and Lebanon, including more than 100 Iranian schoolgirls on the first day of the fighting. Israel, the other belligerent, has lashed out at Washington over the deal while continuing to attack Lebanon (see below). The Israeli cabinet’s harsh words towards Washington led to a strong rebuke from US Vice-President JD Vance. In an initial sign of the still-rocky road ahead, Vance’s trip to Switzerland on 19 June for talks on implementing the deal was abruptly cancelled.

Israel continues to bomb Lebanon as more war crimes alleged

Despite – or possibly because – of the signing of an MoU between the US and Iran that is supposed to include an end to fighting in Lebanon, fighting has flared again, with the Israeli military reportedly killing 18 people in south Lebanon overnight on 18-19 June. The rash of airstrikes followed Hezbollah’s killing of four Israeli soldiers in a southern Lebanese village, and furious statements from politicians such as Israeli’s extreme-right interior security minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, who said “all of Lebanon must burn”. Meanwhile, Amnesty International released a report finding that Israel has radically expanded its mass “evacuation” orders as well as “don’t come back” orders, which it says “have been used as a deliberate tool to forcibly displace civilians” and prevent many of them from returning home. This, the rights watchdog says, amounts to “unlawful transfer”, which is a violation of the Geneva Conventions and a war crime. Read this to hear what forced displacement in Lebanon is really like, from people who have been through it.

Warnings multiply as Ebola cases surge in DRC

The Ebola outbreak in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) could become the “worst ever”, senior health officials are warning. At the time of publishing, there had been 915 confirmed cases and 234 deaths since the outbreak was declared on 15 May – the highest death toll at this stage of an epidemic (although it may have been detected later than others). Even before the very latest figures, the number of cases had increased 38% in less than a week and experts warn the outbreak is yet to peak. The virus is also spreading geographically in conflict-affected eastern DRC and, at the current rate of infection, the epidemic could last a year. The violence, population displacement, and distrust of authorities in the region makes contact tracing and care all the harder. Financing is another hurdle. Donors have so far pledged $910 million, ​including $80 million from African Union member ⁠states. But less than 10% of those IOUs have turned into cash, according to Africa CDC. The West Africa Ebola 2014-2016 outbreak is currently the worst on record, killing more than 11,000 people. For more, read: Ebola outbreak: A crisis of history, not misinformation.

G7 leaders double down as humanitarian trends grow clearer

The humanitarian donor landscape is shifting amid shrinking funding, millions of people in need are being “erased from view”, and reforms meant to improve the system are backsliding, a new report warns. The Global Humanitarian Assistance report by analysis group ALNAP is the latest snapshot of a system in crisis mode after repeated cuts and the US destruction of its foreign aid. Some of the deeper analysis shows “fragmentation and misaligned interests” as top donors cut back and become more explicitly transactional, and as other donors set out their own priorities. Aid organisations could be “caught between competing interests”, the report states. If you were wondering whether humanitarian and development donor trends will reverse, there are not-so-subtle clues from the June G7 summit in Évian, France. A declaration on “mutually beneficial international partnerships” spoke of the need for “self-finance”, private capital, and prioritising “strategic interests”. Traditional development aid, leaders said, has achieved “important results” but has become “overly complex” and has had “limited impact in reducing financial dependency on external assistance, strengthening country ownership, and creating pro-growth incentives”. Oxfam said G7 leaders have “doubled down on the fiction” that the private sector will replace public funding: “Rebranding it as ‘mutually beneficial international partnerships’ does not change the reality for those left behind.”

After WFP cyber-attack, more calls for humanitarians to examine their data protection

The World Food Programme must agree to and publish an independent investigation into the cyber-attack that exposed sensitive data belonging to a large swathe of Gaza’s population, several civil society groups say. The statement from digital rights group Access Now and others also demands that humanitarian agencies stop deploying data-driven digital tools until they weigh the costs, benefits, risks, and the power imbalances that force Gazans to hand over their information. Data belonging to 600,000 households – WFP won’t say how many people this represents – was breached in a 14 May attack. It may be the biggest breach of humanitarian beneficiary data ever, but WFP didn’t notify Gazans for 17 days, and has not responded to The New Humanitarian’s questions since 3 June. Israel’s military uses AI targeting systems powered by mass surveillance data, the Access Now statement notes: “The data exposed in this breach is exactly the kind of information that fuels the targeting of civilians.” The organisations called it, “yet another shocking reminder of the consequences of pervasive mass personal data collection by humanitarian actors in the name of faster aid delivery and cost efficiency”.

MSF dismisses staff in Chad over abuse of Sudanese refugees

Médecins Sans Frontières has dismissed 18 staff in eastern Chad after an internal investigation identified 59 allegations of sexual harassment, exploitation, and abuse involving Sudanese refugees. The allegations of abuse were first reported in November 2024 and survivors included women and underage girls. Cases documented in the MSF report involved demands for sex in return for food, water, jobs, and money, as well as Chadian employees threatened with dismissal if they refused to have sex with supervisors or colleagues. The report also mentions efforts by community leaders to implement a curfew to prevent young girls visiting MSF staff. An MSF statement notes the organisation “sent multiple investigation teams to proactively detect and investigate cases” but makes no mention of involving Chadian authorities even though these are crimes under Chadian law. It continues the pattern of international agencies investigating themselves whenever allegations of sexual misconduct and abuse arise.

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In case you missed it

BOLIVIA/US: President Rodrigo Paz’s government signed a new cooperation deal with the US to fight drug trafficking and organised crime. Under the first such deal since former president Evo Morales expelled the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) in 2008, severing bilateral relations, the US will once again deploy advisers to Bolivia and provide $20 million in equipment and training for Bolivian forces.

DISPLACEMENT: The number of forcibly displaced people fell for the first time in a decade, from 123.2 million in 2024 to 117.8 million in 2025 (including 41.6 million refugees and 68.7 million internally displaced), according to UNHCR’s annual Global Trends Report. The dip is due to an increase in returns. However, many of those going back to their homes did so under pressure and went to places that are still unstable – over 90% of refugee returns were to Afghanistan, Syria, and Sudan. 

EBOLA: Julien Harneis has been appointed Senior Ebola Coordinator by the UN’s top humanitarian Tom Fletcher. Harneis will be based in Bunia, in eastern DRC, and will work with the Inter-Agency Standing Committee bringing together UN and NGO partners. Harneis, a Brit, was previously the UN resident coordinator in Yemen.

ECUADOR: Escalating violence in Ecuador has displaced more than 890,000 people – the third highest figure on the continent after Haiti and Colombia – the Norwegian Refugee Council (NRC) said as it included the country on its list of the world’s most neglected displacement crises for the first time. For more on how aid groups struggle to adapt to violence in Ecuador, read this report.

EUROPEAN UNION: Right-wing members of the European Parliament erupted into cheers of “send them back” after the body passed a law on 17 June giving member states new powers to deport people whose asylum claims have been rejected. Critics warn that the legislation gives EU countries the ability to carry out Trump-style deportation campaigns. The law allows for the creation of deportation centres outside the EU, paves the way for raids on homes and other premises, and extends detention periods to up to 30 months. 

HAITI: The use of drones has added new risks for children in the country, with one in four living within five kilometres of an attack, according to a press release by Save the Children. The strikes started in March 2025, when the government created a special task force to launch a drone campaign targeting gang leaders and made a deal with controversial US private contractor Erik Prince to operate it. For more, read this in-depth report

KASHMIR: Pakistani-administered Kashmir has been put on a region-wide shutdown, including a 12-day internet blackout, after 24 protesters were killed by Pakistani security forces across two weeks of protests in the contested territory. The protests began on 9 June in response to the decision to reserve 12 seats for refugees in next month’s legislative assembly elections. At least 20 other civilians were reportedly killed between 6 and 14 June. Islamabad has a long history of violence towards protesters, especially in areas like Azad Jammu and Kashmir, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Balochistan.

PALESTINE: Israeli attacks have killed over 1,000 Palestinians in the Gaza Strip since the so-called ceasefire came into effect last October. More than 3,150 people have also been injured. Israeli attacks have been escalating in recent weeks. Nearly one million people are living in tents, and around 29,000 have no shelter at all, as sweltering summer heat hits the enclave, according to NRC. Israel continues to block the entry of shelter and reconstruction material.

SOUTH SUDAN: A South Sudanese corruption whistle-blower, abducted and deported from Kenya earlier this week, is being held in military detention in Juba. Businessman Athorbey Dit Guet, widely known as Gaddafi, was reportedly seized at gunpoint in Nairobi – one of multiple cases of covert renditions and forced deportations by the Kenyan authorities. Last week, Egypt also deported a South Sudanese journalist and registered refugee, leaving his family fearing for his safety.

US/VENEZUELA: The US military killed the leader of Venezuela’s notorious Tren de Aragua gang in a joint operation with Venezuelan security forces. The strike, in the southeastern state of Bolívar, is the latest example of Trump’s new approach to security in Latin America: the use of force in collaboration with host governments on their own soil. For more on the humanitarian fallout of criminal violence in the region, read our series “Gangs out of control”.


Weekend read

Journalist Mohamed al-Astal’s 17-year-old daughter Dana studying for her high school matriculation exams in a tent in al-Mawasi, Gaza.

As a father in Gaza, the new home I am building for my children is a nylon tent

Journalist Mohamed al-Astal reflects on trying to support his five children and provide them with basic shelter in post-ceasefire Gaza.


And finally…

“Noble catfishing”?

The new Syrian government arrested a former intelligence agent named Amjad Youssef a few months ago, accusing him of playing a major role in the mass killings of civilians in April 2013, in what became known as the “Tadamon massacre”. The story behind the lead-up to the arrest, in which an Amsterdam-based Syrian academic worked with a Turkish colleague to convince Youssef to admit to his horrific crimes, is fascinating. Their act of what this Guardian review calls “noble catfishing” is the subject of a newly-released documentary called “Killing Anna”. The film is showing in London at the Bertha Dochouse from 19 June, and appears to be on the festival circuit, so check out if it’s at a cinema near you.

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