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A turbulent year ahead for the Horn of Africa

Street scene in Hargeisa,Somaliland. Abdi Hassan/IRIN
    NAIROBI

    The turbulent socio-political and economic situation in the Horn of Africa in 2008 is likely to continue on into 2009, according to Oxford Analytica's forecast for the region.

    In their PROSPECTS 2009: Horn of Africa's challenges grow (5 November), Oxford Analytica forecasts that in 2009, the region “will continue to see some of the world's worst humanitarian, political and security crises”.

    “Food insecurity will be a major factor across the region, contributing to economic pressures from high prices and decreased remittances.

    Somalia's TFG and moderate opposition face a steep challenge in implementing the Djibouti Agreement, despite likely Ethiopian withdrawal.

    Ethiopia's border stalemate with Eritrea will continue, though the cost of war is probably too high for both sides.”

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    This article was produced by IRIN News while it was part of the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. Please send queries on copyright or liability to the UN. For more information: https://shop.un.org/rights-permissions

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