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Population shrinkage caused by HIV/AIDS

Academics have warned that South Africa's population may be growing at only a third of the official estimate of 1.8 percent per year, due largely to HIV and AIDS.

If the latest figures are correct, this could have a negative impact on the attainment of the Millennium Development Goals, as poverty and inequality are likely to be exacerbated.

University of KwaZulu-Natal's health, economics and HIV research professor, Allan Whiteside, said if the decline in population growth meant people in their productive years were dying, this could also make it a "systemic long-term problem".

A local newspaper, Sunday Independent, quoted Whiteside as saying: "We've never seen this demographic event in a developing country before ... at the moment we have a chance to move away from poverty, but if you lose people, you have an orphan generation."


This article was produced by IRIN News while it was part of the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. Please send queries on copyright or liability to the UN. For more information: https://shop.un.org/rights-permissions

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