The agreement, which ended years of conflict, has been hamstrung by the National Congress Party's intransigence, the Sudan People's Liberation Movement's growing pains, and the international community's neglect, states the paper, Peace on the Rocks: Sudan's Comprehensive Peace Agreement.
Confidence in the CPA, it noted, was diminishing, mistrust between the parties mounting and both sides were arming in preparation for a possible resumption of hostilities. A possible arrest warrant against President Omar al-Bashir could add an additional layer of uncertainty to the CPA's fate.
"The CPA is not a lost cause," report author and Enough field researcher Adam O'Brien, said. "However, it badly needs focused support from the international community in terms of both incentives and pressure to send a clear and consistent message that full implementation of the agreement is the essential foundation for peace in Sudan."
"The cost of the CPA's collapse would be immense," said Enough's executive director John Norris. "If the United States and its allies do not get the CPA back on track, they could face a new civil war in Sudan and the violent dissolution of Sudan as a state."
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